Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.834806 11.555526 13.447889 15.677890 18.228057 21.047325 24.393857
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.480712 9.768354 12.517877 16.042828 20.416295 25.636716 32.309393
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.833082 8.347961 11.609676 16.097867 22.052761 29.614689 39.864398
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.692443 7.284900 10.879580 16.137237 23.521242 33.394897 47.439960
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.690651 6.185599 9.867105 15.561553 23.980268 35.767171 53.261221
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.079940 5.530509 9.352726 15.562796 25.161782 39.141137 60.649977
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.598110 4.978579 8.888805 15.536532 26.237313 42.384487 68.040814
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.372919 4.810432 8.996497 16.392557 28.710668 47.855987 79.095112
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.151938 4.605914 9.003516 17.061952 30.919400 53.057947 90.079148
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.976732 4.452999 9.070715 17.823203 33.322550 58.712623 102.125741
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.723192 4.099301 8.720654 17.795448 34.362949 62.213067 110.929616
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.431711 3.611461 8.045443 17.083641 34.119102 63.534461 116.212808
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.192572 3.195338 7.460174 16.487828 34.055363 65.208479 122.308241
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.055178 2.983447 7.259231 16.613951 35.329314 69.288575 132.780900
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.923027 2.756744 6.992518 16.571149 36.268949 72.829370 142.530788
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.812535 2.560695 6.762652 16.572531 37.283809 76.561627 152.837114
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.679393 2.274117 6.280573 15.968333 37.018655 77.883422 158.837078
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.600055 2.118146 6.082323 15.963801 37.972298 81.558224 169.375864
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.529806 1.972052 5.885063 15.934666 38.863551 85.159181 179.972008
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.509366 1.974128 6.064858 16.809022 41.767236 92.889093 198.857740
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.481425 1.946262 6.161879 17.492987 44.304556 100.034128 216.982809
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.458917 1.931561 6.292091 18.270984 47.109877 107.880316 236.875255
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.408934 1.810332 6.109578 18.242553 48.079872 112.016903 249.640291